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The Dutch grocery sector in 2030

March 11, 2019

Roland Berger and EFMI Business School have conducted a joint study to gain insight into the future of the Dutch grocery sector, and understand how the industry could transform itself over the next 10 to 15 years within the context of a rapidly-changing world.

In order to capture accurate insights from within the sector, we organized roundtable discussions with CEOs and senior management of a wide variety of players active in the food and retail industry – both incumbent companies and innovative newcomers. In addition to the insights gained from these roundtable discussions, EFMI and Roland Berger conducted an in-depth food industry survey in which 150 executives from retailers, fresh food companies, brand- and private-label manufacturers gave their views on the future of the grocery sector. Next to these insights we added information collected from (desk) research.

Rather than trying to cover the full scope of the future of Dutch grocery shopping, we focus on specific developments in a number of selected deep dives or "Retail Tales". In a series of tales, we cover areas related to brick-and-mortar and smart shopping, to digitalization, and to a number of social aspects of the industry. In this introduction, we first provide you with an overview of what the grocery sector could expect in the coming years, with a special focus on the following:

  • How industry developments and trends will impact the physical footprint of grocery retailers and how brick-and-mortar stores will change in terms of function and in-store technology
  • How online grocery shopping will evolve and which e-commerce models will become most important in the sector
  • How the social function of grocery players could change in a world where sustainability, value chain transparency and consumer health is becoming increasingly important

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Study

Introduction: The Dutch grocery sector in 2030

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Roland Berger and EFMI Business School have conducted a study to gain insight into the future of the Dutch grocery sector and how the industry could transform itself over the next 10 to 15 years.

Published March 2019. Available in
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Tale 1: The grocery store of the future

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Despite the rise in online shopping, physical grocery stores will be around in the future too. In the first part of our series on the Dutch grocery sector of the future we take an in-depth look at brick-and-mortar shops.

Published March 2019. Available in
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Tale 2: Innovative in-store technology

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Technological innovations like in-store robotics will reshape the food retail industry and redefine grocery shopping. Here's the second tale of our series on the Dutch grocery sector in 2030.

Published March 2019. Available in
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Tale 3: Online grocery shopping

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Online groceries will develop into a high-value channel over the next decade. Our third tale focuses on the future of Dutch online grocery shopping.

Published March 2019. Available in
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Tale 4: E-commerce models

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Dutch shoppers are slowly embracing online grocery shopping. What will future e-commerce models look like and how should traditional retailers respond? Find answers in our fourth tale on the Dutch grocery sector in 2030.

Published April 2019. Available in
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Tale 5: Sustainable supply chains

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Sustainability is one of the key trends that will shape the grocery sector in the long term. Our fifth tale on the Dutch grocery sector in 2030 looks at some initiatives players can take to contribute to a sustainable future.

Published April 2019. Available in
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Tale 6: The pursuit of health

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The pursuit of health is one of the top consumer trends in the grocery sector. Our final tale on the Dutch grocery sector in 2030 looks at how retailers can respond.

Published April 2019. Available in
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